Track record
A clear record starts
with clear rules.
The current books are model portfolios. This page explains their status and the measurement rules that govern each published decision.
Verified live performance begins when eligible live capital starts. The research history and its dated review process are available today.
Current status
Research operations and portfolio status
The platform runs today. The current books remain model portfolios. Each status below defines the present boundary.
The runtimes
running on schedule4 runtimes work their sessions. The conviction desk uses a 60-second review cycle.
The board
filling34 rows are open across 3 active narratives. Each row carries a written claim and the condition that kills it.
The daily report
published every sessionEach report records promotions, demotions, debates, and passed opportunities for the session.
The books
model portfoliosAll four books hold model positions today. They stay separate from outside and client capital.
Execution into Interactive Brokers
built and testedThe order path is wired end to end. It is switched on for the concentrated breakout books.
Conviction book execution
switched off on purposeThe conviction process remains in model status while it develops a scored decision history.
Counts read August 2026. We label model portfolios separately from verified live performance.
Measurement method
The rules come before the results
The system fixes each review date, comparison group, and grade when it records the original decision.
Every decision receives review dates 10 and 20 market days after publication. The system records both dates with the original decision.
Each promotion is compared with the names that stayed at their prior stage that day. This comparison measures the value of the promotion decision.
Each fired alert receives a process grade and an outcome grade. The two grades keep the quality of the reasoning distinct from the return.
Each results table includes every eligible hit and miss. Retired and invalidated theses remain available in the decision history.
We add a live equity curve after eligible live capital begins. Model portfolios and backtests remain clearly labeled in separate views.
Each published figure comes from a dated decision. The system scores it on schedule and includes the complete eligible result set.
Review the evidence
Review the process today.
Follow the record as it grows.
The public dashboard connects each call to its thesis, sources, debate, invalidation, and scheduled review.
The daily board report
Each session report names the changed rows and the opportunities that kept their prior status.
The debates
Every promotion is argued. An adversary is required to attack the idea. The judge rules in writing, and the ruling is attached to the row.
The invalidation on each row
Each row states the number or event that invalidates the thesis. The system records this condition before the outcome.
The grades on past judgments
The desk scores prior calls and retains each grade. The history shows where the process worked and where it needs improvement.
Public dashboard
Explore the current conviction book
Read the public book, its narratives, and its ranked research. The desk has tracked 26 narratives so far.
The conviction book is open.
Review the current portfolio, ranked ideas, live narratives, and research history in the public dashboard.
Open the dashboardStart with the evidence.
Open the public dashboard to review the Book, Pipeline, Horizon, Leaderboard, Coverage, and Reports.