A systematic research desk
See the market through
a conviction lens.
True North Quant turns market narratives into researched company theses. A desk of 31 specialist agents tests the evidence and maintains one ranked conviction book.
Explore the public dashboard through the Book, Pipeline, Horizon, Leaderboard, Coverage, and Reports views.
Narrowed to 2,648 names above $1B market cap.
Figures measured August 2026.
Why this desk is different
Price shows what moved.
Research asks what can move next.
A price screen confirms momentum. True North begins with market forces and maps them to the companies that can benefit. Price helps determine timing.
universe → momentum top 100 → research explains the move → trade
world → narratives → who benefits → evidence → conviction board → trade
Early research needs discipline. The debate gate, written invalidations, and stage ladder keep each thesis traceable as the evidence changes.
How the work moves
Four stages turn a narrative into a decision
Each stage produces a written record for the next stage. The full path stays visible.
Macro agents read the regime and decide which stories are live right now. Oil supply shocks, sector rotation, a bond market breaking down.
Each live story is expanded into a transmission map: who gets paid directly, who supplies them, and who benefits second-hand. Names come from screening the universe, never from memory.
Researchers write a dossier per company and a falsifiable claim per row — why this business gets the earnings, and which number would prove it wrong. Every claim carries a validated source.
Nothing gets promoted quietly. An advocate argues for it, an adversary is required to attack it, and a judge rules with written conditions that get re-checked from then on.
The conviction board
Five stages separate research from action
Each row connects one company to one narrative. Its stage shows the current evidence, timing, and capital status.
| Stage | Capital | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| WATCH | Never | Mapped to a narrative with a written, falsifiable claim about why this name gets the earnings. Unproven. |
| EARLY | Never | The thesis holds up as evidence accumulates. The chart is not ready yet. |
| PRIMED | Only by exception | Thesis validated, catalyst dated and sourced, setup ready. Buying here takes a judge's written authorization. |
| RUNNING | Eligible | Moving now, conviction high, debate passed. This is the only stage that reaches the book by default. |
| RETIRED | Never | Invalidated, resolved, or fully priced. Kept as history, and revivable through a new debate. |
A formal debate controls promotion into the last two stages. The judge records the decision conditions on the row. Each later review checks those conditions again.
The public dashboard
Read the decision and the evidence behind it
The main views organize portfolio decisions. Narratives, Regime, Research, and Journal preserve the context behind them.
The conviction book
See each model position, its portfolio status, and the research path that placed it in the book.
Pipeline
Follow each candidate through research, debate, review, and its next required decision.
Horizon
See dated catalysts and review windows across the book in one forward-looking view.
Conviction leaderboard
Compare active ideas in one ranked view. Each change includes a written reason and current stage.
Coverage
Review the sectors, industries, themes, and market exposures represented across active ideas.
Reports
Read concise session reports on material changes, completed reviews, and upcoming work.
What nobody else offers
Your narratives, your research,
our pods.
On the Operator tier you stop being a reader. Bring a story you believe is moving the market — a policy change, a supply squeeze, a product cycle — and point the research pods at it. They build the transmission map, write the dossiers, and track it for you from then on.
It lands in your own dashboard, alongside ours. The output is research you directed — which is also why it stays yours.
See what each tier includes“Grid operators cannot get transformers fast enough. Map the supply chain and tell me who has pricing power.”
Evidence and record
The research runs today. The verified record grows from a clear starting point.
The runtimes maintain the board and publish session reports. The execution path into Interactive Brokers supports the concentrated breakout books.
The current books are model portfolios. We publish the measurement rules before the results. Verified live performance begins only when eligible live capital starts.
Membership
Three ways in
Founding pricing, held for the first cohort.
Start with the conviction book.
Explore the public research dashboard. Follow each idea from its market narrative to its current portfolio status.